24.2.11

Can you trust the Vix?

It’s official. Volatility is back in vogue.
On Wednesday the Vix index, which is derived from the value of S&P 500 options, posted its biggest two-day increase in nine months following a sharp fall in S&P 500 equities on renewed fears about the robustness of the global economic recovery.
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We would further add that putting blind faith in any futures price for forecasting purposes is never a good idea. It’s well known that futures have always been poor at predicting the future in any market.
On that basis, Vix futures should not be seen any differently .

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/02/24/497116/can-you-trust-the-vix/

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Διαφωνώ για ένα fundamental λόγο: οι εμπλεκόμενοι στα παράγωγα είναι περισσότερο ενημερωμένοι, φραγκάτοι και μεγαλύτερου βάρους...
Δεν λέω ότι δεν κάνουν λάθος, όταν γίνεται έχουμε φούσκα, σκάνδαλο και μεγάλες χασούρες... Μαθαίνεται δηλαδή.

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