30.8.11

How The Economy Quietly Entered A Recession On Friday, And Why The GDP Predicts A Sub-Zero Nonfarm Payroll Number

from zerohedge

"Since 1948, every time the four-quarter change has fallen below 2 percent, the economy has entered a recession. It’s hard to argue against an indicator with such a long history of accuracy." Bernanke agreed that "growth has for the most part been at rates insufficient to achieve sustained reductions in unemployment."

Real GDP YoY:

And Real GDP YoY vs NFP:


... John Lohman .. finds that the collapse in real-time economic data over the past three months is the sharpest in history.

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